1.0European Western Balkanshttps://europeanwesternbalkans.comBranimir Jovanovićhttps://europeanwesternbalkans.com/author/branimir-jovanovic/rich600338<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content" data-secret="IUj7UfW2Tw"><a href="https://europeanwesternbalkans.com/2025/04/14/when-elephants-fight-what-trumps-trade-war-means-for-the-balkans/">When elephants fight: What Trump’s trade war means for the Balkans</a></blockquote><iframe sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" src="https://europeanwesternbalkans.com/2025/04/14/when-elephants-fight-what-trumps-trade-war-means-for-the-balkans/embed/#?secret=IUj7UfW2Tw" width="600" height="338" title="“When elephants fight: What Trump’s trade war means for the Balkans” — European Western Balkans" data-secret="IUj7UfW2Tw" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no" class="wp-embedded-content"></iframe><script> /*! This file is auto-generated */ !function(d,l){"use strict";l.querySelector&&d.addEventListener&&"undefined"!=typeof URL&&(d.wp=d.wp||{},d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage||(d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if((t||t.secret||t.message||t.value)&&!/[^a-zA-Z0-9]/.test(t.secret)){for(var s,r,n,a=l.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),o=l.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),c=new RegExp("^https?:$","i"),i=0;i<o.length;i++)o[i].style.display="none";for(i=0;i<a.length;i++)s=a[i],e.source===s.contentWindow&&(s.removeAttribute("style"),"height"===t.message?(1e3<(r=parseInt(t.value,10))?r=1e3:~~r<200&&(r=200),s.height=r):"link"===t.message&&(r=new URL(s.getAttribute("src")),n=new URL(t.value),c.test(n.protocol))&&n.host===r.host&&l.activeElement===s&&(d.top.location.href=t.value))}},d.addEventListener("message",d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),l.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded",function(){for(var e,t,s=l.querySelectorAll("iframe.wp-embedded-content"),r=0;r<s.length;r++)(t=(e=s[r]).getAttribute("data-secret"))||(t=Math.random().toString(36).substring(2,12),e.src+="#?secret="+t,e.setAttribute("data-secret",t)),e.contentWindow.postMessage({message:"ready",secret:t},"*")},!1)))}(window,document); </script> https://europeanwesternbalkans.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Donald_Trump_53911563873-min-scaled.jpg25601707Originally published on BiEPAG blog  Trump’s tariffs will hit the Western Balkans indirectly, through reduced exports to the EU. Existing models suggest the fallout will be relatively mild, with GDP growth slowing by 0.4 to 0.9 percentage points. However, the current situation looks like a black swan – an unpredictable shock for which standard models […]